New FHM scenarios suggest that infection prevalence will continue to decline as the search for a new hypothetical virus type may appear in March. Photo: MostPhotos
The Swedish Public Health Agency has presented two new scenarios for the spring, running from today until May 20 to show how the pandemic could develop.
According to scenario 0, which is the most likely development, it is estimated that the prevalence of infection decreases rapidly and then fades in February and remains at low levels until summer.
“We are in a new situation of an epidemic where there is broad immune protection among the population, many of whom have been vaccinated and become infected. Even if infections increase again, it is unlikely that many will suffer,” state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell says in a statement on the FHM website. from a serious illness.
Do not rule out a new variant of the infectious virus
The second scenario assumes that a new hypothetical variant of a virus of particular interest was developed and presented around March 20. It is expected to be as infectious as Omicron and reach its peak in mid-May. The Swedish Public Health Agency does not consider a development in the scenario as likely, but it cannot be ruled out.
Therefore, it is important to have a high and continuous level of preparedness in healthcare. Good hygiene is the key to preventing the spread of infection. By continuing national monitoring and testing in health and care, we can see changes in infection prevalence and care needs, as well as discover new viral variants,” says Anders Tegnell.
New infection scenarios will be presented on April 20.
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