Aerosol forecasts from the Copernican Atmospheric Monitoring Service show that a large amount of desert dust will move north across Europe in the next few days. CAMS continues to monitor the movement of dust from the desert. The most recent forecast showed the highest values in Western Europe between March 15-17, 2022. The EAS forecast also showed a deterioration in air quality in large parts of Spain, Portugal and France due to dust from the Sahara.
Image: The aerosol optical depth (AOD) forecast for the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS) began at 00 UTC on March 15, 2022. Source: Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service / ECMWF.
Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS) Forecasts since March 11 have shown a large dust cloud with very high values Aerosol optical depth (AOD) and concentrations of dust traveling north through the Iberian Peninsula, France, and regions of Central Europe between March 15-17. The trajectory of this dust cloud resulted in very high expected surface concentrations of up to 250 micrograms per cubic metre, although measurements from the European Environment Agency showed values higher than that in several places in Spain on March 15. This is above the EU recommended 24-hour average threshold of 50 micrograms per cubic centimeter.
Image: EAMS Global Optical Depth Forecast for Dust Aerosol and Surface Concentration for PM10. Source: Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service / ECMWF.
The EAM system tracks all phases of dust withdrawals from the Sahara Desert each year and monitors the annual distribution of dust from different source areas across the Sahara, since the beginning of the year. Efficiency assurance management system expectations are provided in both European And the global floorand act as a tool to help us make informed decisions continuously with 24/7 air quality forecast data.
Air quality is essential to human health as high concentrations of dust can have health effects on the respiratory organs of all people in affected areas and add particles of air pollutants from local sources. Senior Investigator, Mark Barrington, at ECMWF Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service comments: “In EAM, we use satellite and location observations in our air quality forecasts to provide a continuous and reliable source of information for monitoring air pollution incidents like this.” It occurs most years and the impacts of the current event. So amazing. Although dust will affect air quality in parts of southwestern Europe, the main effects will be foggy skies or some surface precipitation.”
You can find more information on CAM monitoring for this year’s desert dust season here: https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/sahran-dust-heads-north-cams-tracks-its-progress-nf
Additional air quality data is available in the Atmospheric Data Store (ADS):
And the:
https://ads.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/cams-europe-air-quality-forecasts?tab=overview
About ECMWF and Copernicus
Copernicus is part of the European Union’s Space Programme, funded by the European Union, the flagship Earth observation programme. The operation operates through six thematic services: Atmosphere, Marine, Land, Climate Change, Security and Emergencies. It provides freely available operational data and services that provide users with reliable and up-to-date information about our planet and its environment. The program is coordinated and managed by the European Commission and implemented in partnership with Member States, the European Space Agency (ESA), the European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMTSAT), the European Center for Medium Distance Forecasting (ECMWF), European Union agencies, Mercator Océan and more.
ECMWF operates two services of the European Union’s Copernicus Earth Observation Program: the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS) and the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). They also contribute to the Copernican Emergency Management Service (CEMS), which is implemented by the European Union Joint Research Council (JRC). The European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) is an independent intergovernmental organization supported by 35 countries. It is a 24/7 operational research and service institute that produces and publishes digital weather forecasts to its member states. These data are fully available to the national meteorological services of the member states. The supercomputer facility (and associated data archives) at the ECMWF is one of the largest of its kind in Europe and member states can use 25% of its capacity for their own purposes.
ECMWF has increased the number of places in which it does business. In addition to the UK headquarters and the computing center in Italy, new offices focusing on activities implemented in partnership with the European Union, such as Copernicus, will be located in Bonn, Germany starting in the summer of 2021.
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service: http://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/
Copernicus Climate Change Service: https://climate.copernicus.eu/
More information about Copernicus: www.copernicus.eu
ECMWF Web: https://www.ecmwf.int/
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